He, alongside a few other of the industrys best talent evaluators and NFL Draft prognosticators, played a key role in helping me calculate an important but ultimately minor variable in this phase of the process expected draft capital. His incredible flexion might just be the thing that sets him apart. WebWide receiver. Amon-Ra St. Brown (ADP: WR8) posted a 39.2 SPORQ score. Nwangwu and Evans might be worth a Round 5 dart throw in deep dynasty leagues. Rondale Moore was heavily penalized due to his short stature (57), but helped make up some ground with some absurd numbers in the 40, Vert, 3-Cone, and Shuttle. The width of the box is the distance between the outer shoulder of right and the outer shoulder of the left tackle. to get him working on his body - if relations weren't so strained Good stuff Chowder. Stuffed Runs run plays netting zero or negative yardage.
Football SPARQ Testing - Topend Sports In order to display a more granular percentile rank for comparison purposes, Breakout Ages are listed to the tenth decimal place. This youth factor is then balanced by a premium on projected near-term production (i.e. He ended that season totaling 568 yards from scrimmage and seven total touchdowns, which compared favorably to fourth-year junior Darius Slaytons 670 yards and five touchdowns. Dantzler needs to improve his scores at his Pro Day or hes cancelled. Heres a twitter thread looking at some historical player comparisons for the 2021 class based on athletic profile. Athletes scoring in the 30-50 range are considered smart. The Agility Shuttle is a shuttle run in which an athlete must run 5yards, touch an object or mark, proceed to run 10yards in the opposite direction and touch a second object or mark. and this is a very comprehensive list. My Pre-Combine model did not like Nico Collins (WR15), but he has ideal size (6-4 and 215 lbs) and good athleticism (88.2 SPORQ score). Is that why hes now expected to be drafted on Day 2? Well answer each of those questions in todays article. Expected Touchdown Differential the difference between expected and actual touchdowns scored. Target Separation -A receiver's average yards of separation from his assigned defender at the moment the pass arrives. SPARQ does a great job of analyzing overall athleticism, but I showed how little it means for projecting NFL success here. Hand Size data presented by John Bales fromFantasy Labs showed a relationship between hand size and quarterback performance, particularly in cold weather conditions. I urge you to review my Pre-Combine rankings and analysis, which you can read here. And he can add more to that frame if needed. WebThis week the NFL Draft 2021: The Latest Picks and Analysis; An analysis on Kwity Paye; The Kansas City Chiefs return to the Super Bowl for the first time since 1969; Chicago Deep Balls charts the total number of passing attempts that travel 20 yards or farther in the air. I found this article very compelling, arguing that we should not adjust or devalue a players 2021s Pro Day numbers. turn into something. SPARQ was a US-based company started in 2004 to create a standardized test for athleticism called the 'SPARQ Rating' and to sell training equipment and methods to help improve athleticism focused on the high school athlete (an "SAT" for athletes). I didnt think it was possible, but I like Pitts even more now than I did several weeks ago. The Yo-Yo Intermittent Recovery Test is a test measuring an athlete's aerobic power and execution upon the changing of direction. Yards Created are accrued after the running back's first evaded tackle. Since 2000, weve only ever seen two RBs record a faster time at the Combine: Chris Johnson (4.24) and Keith Marshall (4.31). Elite athleticism and has the production Fellow Auburn WR Seth Williams SPORQ score was solid (69.5), but he jumped in my rankings primarily due to a miscalculation in Phase I of my model. His 10-yard split saved what wouldve been an even lower score. SPARQ's headquarters was in Portland, Oregon, with a distribution center in Oconomowoc, Wisconsin, until its sale to Nike in 2009 (Nike kept the distribution center open in Oconomowoc until March 2010). He averaged 5.6 YPC across his career, but rarely ever touched the ball (only 25 times in 2020), In his fifth season at Maryland, after two ACL tears, Funk averaged 118.8 YFS per game on 14.0 touches per game in 2021. WebWelcome to Relative Athletic Scores! Harris is pretty old as a prospect (Age: 24.0), and his production score was fairly underwhelming and especially so within that context. Kyle Pitts. Best Comparable Player aggregates physical attributes, college production, workout metrics, and NFL productivity and efficiency (when available) to find each players most similar peer at his position. Several other RBs, including Patterson, Felton, and Javian Hawkins, among others, were also penalized due to a low playing weight, but none quite on the level of Williams. Because Nikes actual SPARQ formula is not public, we compared publicallyavailable SPARQ scores to their related input factors, reverse-engineered anapproximation of the SPARQ formula, and then applied the formula to eachplayers workout metrics. Who has the most serious red flags? 34.5% of the RBs in the 90th-100th percentile had at least one RB1 fantasy season. The SPARQ Football Rating is derived from a formula that combines results from standard measurements of the NFL football combine. There is also the SPARQ Pro Rating consisting of more specific tests, designed to take a more comprehensive look into the sources of football-specific athleticism. On 2008, SPARQ updated their protocols for Football. Chase (3.99) is one of only 39 WRs to post a short shuttle time under 4.00. From 2018-2019, he led the team, averaging 54.4 receiving YPG, just ahead of sixth-round pick Donovan Peoples-Jones (same age), who averaged 43.8 YPG. Metcalf. Some of the products by SPARQ included medicine balls, agility drills, parachutes, slidesteppers, and hurdles.[3].
SPARQ Scores : r/NFL_Draft - Reddit I concluded the article saying basically this. Similar in concept to Agility Score, Burst Score sums a players Vertical Jump height and Broad Jump distance. I didnt think the tape was good, and the athleticism was really bad Albert Okwuegbunam crushed the weight-adjusted forty, and then called it a day (probably because he has below-average agility). Well built and very athletic. Donations like these helped give me the support I needed to provide online every player with a qualified RAS, but if we can get more then I may be able to set up the site to allow you to search more dynamically and even run cards of your own directly from the site. I have Friermuth ranked as my TE2 in this class in a tier alongside Long. We've seen how important having that bend around the corner can be, and Who moved up or down my board the most? Justin Fields averaged 10.2 rushing FPG and 64.6 rushing YPG in 2020, after averaging 9.2 and 49.1 in 2019. I think a year in an NFL weight room could turn him into a real player. The time in between each beep (bar the constant 10second recovery) decreases gradually. Players with numbers higher than 8.0 have significant weekly output oscillation, and values over 10.0 indicate an extreme boom/bust range of outcomes. Wex might be right. Hog Rate captures the rate of passing game utilization on a per play basis by calculating the number of targets per snap. Player Popularity Index measures how popular a player's page has been in the last 10 days. Unlike running backs, weight and height are correlated to wide receiver and tight end production, because height expands the players catch radius. This results in a measure of a players speed that also incorporates a premium on both body weight and body length. He has good size (62, 205 pounds) and his SPORQ score is near-elite (90.2). Air Yards for quarterbacks, Air Yards is the total throw depth, and Completed Air Yards is total passing yards minus yards after the catch. Elijah Mitchell ran a 4.33 40-yard-dash at his Pro Day. Demetric Felton (ADP: RB15) posted a 1.3 SPORQ score. Michael Carters 3.98 short shuttle ranks 8th-best since 2000. That completion may be unlikely to lead to any points for his team, but if the quarterbacks team is leading, it increases the win probability enabling the leading team to run out the clock. The metric is calculated by dividing total fantasy points by the combined total of a running backs carries and targets. to the Steelers roster, I thought some might enjoy digging Rondale Moores 4.31 40-yard-dash ranks 13th-best since 2000. Jeudy's 105 SPARQ is, for example, 7% worse than Both Ryan Leaf and Rich Gannon scored a 27. Terrace Marshall (ADP: WR6) was another big winner. Rountree dropped outside of my top-10 (RB13) and Patterson was pushed outside of my top-15 (RB17). Breakout Age the younger a person is when he/she first becomes a leader in their respective field, the more likely that person is to go on to become *phenom*enal at their craft. Where did these players rank in Phase I of my model (something akin to a composite production and efficiency score)? Unlike with Harris and Waddle, this was not because of a pre-existing injury, this was by choice. Among TEs, Harris also ranks 2nd-best since 2000 in the broad jump and 6th-best in the vert.
Jaret Patterson (ADP: RB11) posted a 11.1 SPORQ score. The metric is calculated by dividing total fantasy points by total targets. Ex. Jalen Camp (97.8), Simi Fehoko (93.6), Racey McMath (92.2), Michael Strachan (91.3), and Josh Imatorbhebhe (91.1) all posted elite SPARQ scores. For example, the athletic traits a corner needs (speed, agility) are a lot different than the athletic traits a defensive tackle needs (burst, strength), but the SPARQ formula doesnt change based on position.. Hes now my TE5, within the same tier as Jordan. Weekly Volatility measures the level of week-to-week fantasy point scoring variance. Since 2000, only two WRs have recorded a better time at the NFL Combine: Donte Stallworth and John Ross, both at 4.22. Safety. He should be consistently mocked within the first 20 picks now Most of the Day 2 corners tested near historical averages, except for Damon Arnette (26th percentile) and Cameron Dantzler (5th percentile) who disappointed versus expectations. Really intrigued by him. PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links. Running backs and wide receivers are held to a different standard as times of 4.50 or below are considered fast for RBs and WRs. Athletes in the 20-30 range possess solid functional intelligence. The pool of players included in the percentile ranks consists of those currently signed to active and futures contracts. Due to a minor ankle injury, Najee Harris didnt workout at his Pro Day, and as such recorded a SPORQ score of DNQ (Did Not Qualify). Hayden Winks. Follow him on Twitter @HaydenWinks. The reason its not very helpful as a predictor is because its measuring overall athleticism, not the exact athletic traits a prospect needs to play his position in the NFL. True Yards Per Carry popularized by Zach Krueger in a piece written for PlayerProfiler, True YPC discounts all runs greater than 10 yards. 29.4% of the TEs in the top 90th-100th percentile had at least one top-6 fantasy season. This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile w. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. Apr 21st 2022. This metric helps to identify wide receivers and tight ends with limited route trees that may have a low snap count and target share, but when they are on the field, are a focal point of the passing offense. 25.7% of WRs in the 96th-100th percentile had at least one WR1 fantasy season. Catch Rate captures a players ability to secure the football in all situations regardless of the level of difficulty by dividing the total receptions by total targets. Target Premium Rich Hribar coined the term Target Multiplier in an XN Sports Fantasy Football: 2013 WR Review article. The SPARQ was not created to measure athleticism in NFL prospects. Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. Pat Freiermuth elected not to participate in the position drills at his Pro Day, as hes still recovering from a shoulder injury. and this is a very comprehensive list. If you disagree, thats fine and I totally understand the logic there. Less than 20% is a red flag. Last year, Tyler Johnson (whom my Pre-Combine model loved) elected not to participate in any event at the Combine. Just note, I was primarily shooting for only the most favorable comparisons in each instance. Finally, they must switch direction and run another 5yards to the starting point. His 7.26 3-Cone ranks 6th-slowest in this class, and is significantly slower than (for instance) Trey Sermons time (6.84), even though Sermon is 14 pounds heavier. Rondale Moores 6.68 ranks 50th-best. But also that my new stat SPORQ score is the best tool you could use to measure athleticism. For tight ends and running backs, a 15% Dominator Rating is necessary to qualify for a breakout designation. However, his SPORQ score of 88.8 is highly encouraging, as is his projected draft capital (WR4, Round 1-2 per Dane Brugler). You can find that stat and our historical Combine database here. Overall, this tight end class sucks.
2023 NFL Combine Results - NFL.com A comprehensive review of the rationale behind the VOS metric is available here: Introducing: Value Over Stream (VOS). Scott Barrett combines a unique background in philosophy and investing alongside a lifelong love of football and spreadsheets to serve as FantasyPoints Director of Analytics and Lead DFS Writer. 2 corner in the class, especially after showcasing 92nd percentile adjusted athleticism. Hell have to improve at his Pro Day to regain his Day 1 status Terrell Lewis and Yetur Gross-Matos did okay in the drills they participated in, but they didnt run the forty Luckily, Jabari Zuniga, Casey Toohill, James Smith-Williams, and Carter Coughlin all finished inside the 80th percentile as above-average athletes for the position. True Catch Rate reception percentage based solely on catchable targets. He led Stanford in receiving yards last season, recording over twice as many as the next-closest receiver (33.3% YMS). on the spreadsheet, to look up the combine numbers, etc. The tests were designed to test the skills and athleticism demanded by each sport.
Coverage Rating Comprehensive cornerback efficiency metric incorporating target rate, pass break-ups, catch rate allowed, and fantasy points allowed per snap. Wex loves his bend, but you're right, he's slight. The SPARQ Rating was a sport-specific assessment of athleticism. Production Premium isolates a players situation-agnostic efficiency. By Speed Score Pitts 130.7 ranks 2nd-best (behind Davis), while Harris moves to 29th-best since 2000. WebMike Mitchell, a linebacker for Ohio State, Texas Tech, and Southeastern University holds the national record SPARQ Rating. Overall, this offensive tackle class is awesome, especially at the top All of the first round prospects finished as above-average athletes, including Mekhi Becton (100th percentile) and Tristan Wirfs (97th) who were breathtakingly fast for their size. Base Front - seven defenders in the box. The best of the best, the most elite athletes, will score between 130 The aggregate Lifetime Value is calculated using recent NFL opportunity, productivity, and efficiency metrics for veteran players as well as prospect profile metrics such as draft capital, college production, and athleticism for young players and prospects. Larry Rountree (ADP: RB17) posted a 7.6 SPORQ score. Although my Pre-Combine model liked Hawkins and Jefferson quite a bit, both fell in this phase of the process. He earned the "Now I have to go back and watch the tape" award. To qualify as a slot receiver on any given play, a receiver must be lined up inside and covered up by a outside receiver in either three or four-receiver sets. It's always interesting to dig into the SPARQ scores. Quarterbacks with a high deep ball percentage generally play in vertical passing attacks as opposed to systems that emphasize short, quick passes. Target Rate Ratio of total targets to total routes run by running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo He ranks 17th-best in burst score (162.5), five spots ahead of Briley Moore (160.5). Wes Huber has long been pounding the table for Sermon, and this was exactly what we needed to see from him in order to break into that second tier. For example, it assigns a premium to a completed pass that earns a first down at the quarterback's own 20-yard-line with 30 seconds left in the game. Thanks for sharing. Players with poor scores by both production and athleticism almost never did anything meaningful for fantasy teams. The Big 3 RBs are all deserving of Round 1 picks in TE Premium Superflex Rookie Drafts. Happy Draft Week 2023! Best Ball Points Added - In the best ball format formats, players must reach a weekly points threshold to qualify for the starting lineup each week. Ultimately, I have no choice but to penalize Smith, though whatever I decide to go with (a 15% reduction, a 25% reduction?) 23 Most Interesting Things I Heard At Combine, how little athleticism matters for safety.
Where do they rank by SPORQ score (something akin to a composite athleticism score)? That said, its also far from irrelevant. This would rank tied with Marshall for 2nd-best since 2000. SPARQ does a great job of analyzing overall athleticism, but I showed how little it means for projecting NFL success here. This means that a 0.0 z Green Flags (Is that the opposite of a red flag?). For example, the athletic traits a corner needs (speed, agility) are a lot different than the athletic traits a defensive tackle needs (burst, strength), but the SPARQ formula doesnt change based on position. Jacob Harris 173.5 burst score ranks best ever by a TE, and would rank 17th-best among WRs. 2005-2023 CBS INTERACTIVE ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Elijah Moore (ADP: WR7) has been knocked for his size (59, 178 pounds), and that did hurt him somewhat in my model (falling from 88.4 to 81.6), but he also posted the best 3-Cone (6.67), the 2nd-best short shuttle (4.00), and the 4th-best 40 in this class (4.35), which is exactly what he needed to do to alleviate those concerns. If his frame can handle the weight and build on his strength, he might (We already know hes a freak athlete, and hes a Round 1 lock based on expected draft capital.). For RBs, we add a BMI premium. This time is taken and put into "SPARQ Points", which were added to determine the athlete's overall rating. Couldn't agree more. You can search for any player Chris Evans vert jump of 40.5 ranks 15th-best since 2000. He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo. You can find this chart here, along with where all of these players rank since 2000. Had he been fully healthy and simply elected not to participate, he might have fallen in my rankings, but Im willing to accept this excuse and keep him ranked as the clear RB1 in this class. Dillon is a 97th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete., Overall, this is a decent running back class in terms of depth J.K. Dobbins opted to not participate, but the other top prospects did (Jonathan Taylor, Cam Akers, DAndre Swift, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire) and they all finished as above-average Adjusted SPARQ athletes A.J. His 40-time (4.44), 3-Cone (6.85), and broad jump (128.0) were solid, but much less impressive at his size (97.3 Speed Score), and his lack of size (189 pounds, 25.2) surely played a role in his unexpectedly low score. Solid numbers in the jumps and the bench press were not enough to offset the pedestrian 40-time at his size (88.8 Speed Score). This service is intended for adult audiences. Helus snap share was not significantly less than Morris, but Washington gave the majority of opportunities to Morris, while Helu was asked to do a lot of blitz pickup work as opposing defenses relentlessly blitzed Robert Griffin III when Helu was on the field. What do you guys think about Brian Burns? Okudah is clearly the top corner and will be among my top non-quarterback prospects this season C.J. Ezra Cleveland, Austin Jackson, Jedrick Wills, and Andrew Thomas were great athletes, too Joshua Jones was the only highly-respected OT prospect to finish as an average athlete, but he should still pass most athletic thresholds. Although Zach Wilson is a near-lock to be drafted second overall (and maybe even Mac Jones third overall), I have Fields right behind Lawrence as the QB2 in this class. This metric is a window into the vertically-oriented nature of a quarterbacks offensive system. Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. He had turned 18 just three days prior. Note 1: Big shoutout to the great Dane Brugler and his 2021 NFL Draft Guide, which you can find here. For example, a 35+% dominator indicates that a wide receiver has the potential to be a teams No. Jalen Camps 29 bench press reps are the most by any WR since 2000, and two more than the next-closest WR. And then a far less-exciting Little 3, consisting of Gainwell, Carter, and Sermon. For those who didn't notice, you can scroll to the right This number measures a players short area quickness and balance and correlates with an ability to avoid tackles and compile yards before contact. John Bates weight-adjusted 3-Cone ranks 22nd-best since 2000. Target Quality combines catchable targets with average target depth putting a premium on deep, catchable targets and discounting shorter, uncatchable passes. Hes jumped from WR9 in my rankings to WR7. Some Results. The SPARQ Magazine (Summer of 2008) also noted that the highest Basketball SPARQ rating score recorded for hoops was 89.70 by Brandan Wright, a 6' 9" forward who plays for the Golden State Warriors. Also notable was the score of 86.80 recorded by NCAA All-American Derrick Rose. Zeirlien also highlights his bend saying : I liked the way Cominsky moved. Their time is measured in seconds and transferred into SPARQ Points. Adjusted Yards Per Attempt (AY/A) Modified yards per attempt incorporates a premium for touchdowns and a discount for interceptions. Elite athleticism and has the production. I severely penalized him for that fact and that appeared to be the right move my Pre-Combine model said he was deserving of a Round 1 or Round 2 pick, but he was ultimately drafted in Round 5. One of my favorite day three players. Both Matt Ryan and Giovanni Carmazza scored a 32. When a given players supporting cast changes (via trade or free agency), this metric is particularly helpful, because it measures that players capabilities across league-average situations. Positive values indicate a player touchdown exceeded expectations due to efficiency and good fortune. How to read this: Kyle Duggar is a 99th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile would represent a player who rates as a league-average NFL athlete at the position. After an elite showing at his Pro Day, recording a class-high 98.0 SPORQ score, I like Chase even more now, and I didnt even think that could be possible. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. JaMarr Chases 4.34 ranks 37th-best since 2000 (96th percentile). Cade Johnson (ADP: WR28) posted a 20.2 SPORQ score. Lance Zierlein actually has him ranked as the 2nd-best TE in the class. Dazz Newsome (ADP: WR22) posted a 28.1 SPORQ score. Rondale Moores 42.5 ranks 11th-best. Although officially listed with a DNQ SPORQ score, I actually boosted Waddle in my rankings. Waddle is still recovering from the injury (a high ankle sprain plus fracture, which required surgery) that caused him to miss a bulk of the 2020 season.
SPARQ Rankings 2018 | Three Sigma Athlete 40-yard Dash for quarterbacks and tight ends, any 40-yard dash under 4.70 seconds is considered fast.
Best For instance, here is a video of Waddle racing speedster Henry Ruggs in the 40 (which resulted in a tie). The 4.44 40-yard-dash helped make up some ground, but he still profiles as only an average athlete for the position. For perspective, in their best collegiate seasons, Lamar Jackson averaged 24.2 rushing FPG, Taysom Hill averaged 19.8, Jalen Hurts averaged 18.7, Kyler Murray averaged 12.8, Josh Allen averaged 8.1, and Joe Burrow averaged 7.6. We hope you're enjoying this old content for FREE. He averaged 7.9 rushing FPG in 2020 after averaging 5.3 rushing FPG across his first two seasons. The distance in inches is then turned into SPARQ Points to be added to the final score. Overall, athleticism is still just a small part of a prospects total profile, but I prefer Adjusted SPARQ to other composite athletic scores. Fantasy Points Per Target measures wide receiver and tight end fantasy points in the context of the players opportunities. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. Percentile Rank physical attributes and workout metrics include an overall percentile rank (100 being the best possible score) in parenthesis. By factoring out the disproportionate impact of long runs, the metric rewards running back consistency.